
Boo to the rain. A series of warm, moist systems are making their way through NW Montana, meaning valley rain and some mountain snow. Lost Trail, as usual when we get the warm wet stuff, is the place to be today, with 16" in the past 24 hours. It's all about the elevation. The first cold front has now passed, with mountain top temps in the Rattlesnake dropping fast, 4 degrees in the past two hours or so. Temps are expected to rise again with next storm. Four inches fell on Stuart last night, with a few showers still on the radar. The next system is supposed to arrive Thursday evening, and while warm, it doesn't look to be as sloppy as the recent storm. Still going to be muddy and nasty in the valley.
Avalanche danger is pretty bad right now, so I wouldn't advise any backcountry trips, unless you are really confident in your abilities and you plan to avoid dangerous terrain. We have a few weak layers of surface hoar buried in the snowpack. Add a bunch of new loading with heavy wet snow and mid-elevation rain and you've got a recipe for trouble.
Dudley's video from after the last storm is pretty telling. Not much has happened to strengthen the deep weak layer and we added another smaller surface hoar layer over the holiday before these storms. A 16+" slab will bury you pretty damn quick. Anyway, things are not safe out there.
There has been a lot of talk about the LaValle malfunction up at Snowbowl. For the record, I was rope evacuated, and I thought Patrol did a great job, considering how many young kids were solo on the lift. Apparently, the cable got derailed when a person somehow ran into a sign while trying to load, and the chair then hit the sign, bouncing it off. The idiocy factor is high at the Bowl right now, and this is just one example. Anyway, the lift was quickly fixed and I don't think safety is an issue up there, other than the morons and some of the high schoolers, who for some reason think that good skiers never make any turns. Go home and watch your movies, kids. It's about what you do when you're on the ground, not your outfit and your aerials.